I have always felt that drafting a receiver too early in the draft is a high-risk proposition, especially for the 49ers. Not everyone can be Jerry Rice after all, as we learned so quickly with JJ Stokes. …
The reality is, that even when you "hit" on a target like the 49ers did with Michael Crabtree, it is hard to argue that the risk is worth reward - even putting aside the legendary Crabtree & MC Hammer holdout errr... contract negotiation. There is far less risk, and about equal money, in acquiring an established receiver who is coming off their rookie contract. By round 4 of the draft though, the risk reward trade-off seems to settle, and that is exactly where the 49ers pounced to draft rookie wide receiver Bruce Ellington. What exactly are the expectations for Ellington to contribute on a team that already has Crabtree, Boldin, and Johnson in the mix? To understand that, you really have to understand: what are the betting expectations for the 49ers this season? It begins with where things left off... on the cusp of a second consecutive trip to the Super Bowl. Redzone offense has been the breaking point for the 49ers for the past 3 consecutive seasons, and you can view now the best odds at Sportbet.com of the 49ers finally winning the big dance. Will Bruce Ellington actually play a role in that? My thoughts are that it will be quite a minimal one at best.The two sport college star brings loads of play making potential. He's caught and thrown touchdowns, played in Bowl games, and never missed a beat moving between football and basketball. The 49ers love the way he uses his body to position himself to go after the ball, despite a small frame, and they love his explosive speed too. No he's not a burner, but he should be able to get separation at this level. Ellington is also trying to find his way as a special team's kick and punt returner, but he will face plenty of competition for that role.
Given the 49ers are already deeply invested in Boldin, Crabtree and the recent addition of Stevie Johnson, cracking a serious role in an offense that is lead by its run game will be very different. Ellington will have to beat out established veteran Brandon Lloyd - who has a knack for making plays in the redzone (something the 49ers clearly need more of) and youngster Quinton Patton who showed promise last season. The competition does not end there either. Ellington has a very long road in front of him.